Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 97% |
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| O/U 32.5 | 86% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 1H Moneyline | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 70% |
| O/U 40.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | 66% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 41.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 42.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 54% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| O/U 43.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Spread -17.5 | 52% |
| O/U 44.5 | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers vs. Falcons: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| Safety? | 49% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| O/U 46.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 45% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 41% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| O/U 48.5 | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| O/U 52.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| O/U 56.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 13% |
| Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
Market context
Panthers vs. Falcons — current market-implied probability: 97%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.8M.
Methodology
This page reads Panthers vs. Falcons on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What are crypto prediction markets?
- Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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