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Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

"Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 56% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 52% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 51% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $151K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.552%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 1 Winner43%
Map 2 Winner43%
Match Winner36%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)34%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)34%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)32%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)32%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)27%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)19%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 56% YES probability for Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Liquid and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 15 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if T…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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