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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

On-chain snapshot for "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Any Player Ultra Kill 57% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 55% Match Winner 54% Game 1 Winner 52% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $301K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill57%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?55%
Match Winner54%
Game 1 Winner52%
Game 2 Winner52%
Both Teams Beat Roshan52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks52%
Any Player Rampage52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Any Player Ultra Kill31%
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)28%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 57% probability to dota 2: vici gaming vs playtime (bo3) - esports world cup survival. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Vici Gaming and PlayTime in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gami…

Methodology

This page reads Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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