What are crypto prediction markets?

Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does a transaction cost on Polygon?

Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.

Troy vs. Utah State UK Crypto Prediction | BTC Prediction 2026

Name: Troy vs. Utah State
Start: 2026-09-21T20:12:29.000Z
End: 2026-09-26T23:30:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open live market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open live market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open live market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open live market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1Q O/U 3.5	100%
1Q O/U 6.5	100%
1Q O/U 9.5	100%
1Q O/U 12.5	100%
O/U 34.5	93%
O/U 40.5	81%
O/U 28.5	79%
O/U 30.5	79%
O/U 32.5	79%
O/U 36.5	78%
O/U 38.5	78%
O/U 46.5	76%
O/U 42.5	74%
O/U 44.5	72%
Troy O/U 20.5	72%
Utah State O/U 25.5	70%
O/U 48.5	67%
O/U 50.5	64%
O/U 58.5	54%
O/U 52.5	53%
1H O/U 23.5	51%
Troy O/U 23.5	51%
Spread -12.5	50%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -17.5	50%
Spread -18.5	50%
Spread -20.5	50%
Spread -21.5	50%
Spread -24.5	50%
O/U 54.5	50%
1H Spread -1.5	50%
1H Spread -0.5	50%
1H Spread -3.5	50%
1H Spread -5.5	50%
1H O/U 17.5	50%
1H O/U 20.5	50%
1H O/U 26.5	50%
1H O/U 29.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -3.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H O/U 18.5	50%
2H O/U 21.5	50%
2H O/U 24.5	50%
2H O/U 27.5	50%
2H O/U 30.5	50%
1Q Spread -3.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -0.5	50%
1Q Spread -0.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -3.5	50%
1Q O/U 15.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -2.5	50%
2Q Spread -3.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
2Q O/U 7.5	50%
2Q O/U 10.5	50%
2Q O/U 13.5	50%
2Q O/U 16.5	50%
2Q O/U 19.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -2.5	50%
3Q Spread -3.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q O/U 3.5	50%
3Q O/U 6.5	50%
3Q O/U 9.5	50%
3Q O/U 12.5	50%
3Q O/U 15.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -2.5	50%
4Q Spread -3.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q O/U 7.5	50%
4Q O/U 10.5	50%
4Q O/U 13.5	50%
4Q O/U 16.5	50%
4Q O/U 19.5	50%
Troy O/U 17.5	50%
Troy O/U 26.5	50%
Troy O/U 29.5	50%
Utah State O/U 22.5	50%
Utah State O/U 28.5	50%
Utah State O/U 31.5	50%
Troy 1H O/U 10.5	50%
Troy 1H O/U 12.5	50%
Troy 1H O/U 14.5	50%
Utah State 1H O/U 12.5	50%
Utah State 1H O/U 14.5	50%
Utah State 1H O/U 16.5	50%
Troy 2H O/U 9.5	50%
Troy 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Troy 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Utah State 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Utah State 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Utah State 2H O/U 15.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Troy O/U 2.5	50%
Utah State O/U 2.5	50%
1H Moneyline	50%
1Q Moneyline	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5	50%
Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Troy vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Troy vs. Utah State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Troy vs. Utah State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
Utah State O/U 19.5	49%
Troy vs. Utah State	48%
Spread -1.5	48%
Spread -1.5	47%
Spread -2.5	46%
1H Spread -2.5	46%
O/U 56.5	44%
Spread -7.5	43%
O/U 60.5	42%
O/U 64.5	41%
1H Spread -1.5	40%
Spread -3.5	39%
Spread -8.5	39%
Spread -6.5	37%
O/U 62.5	37%
Spread -2.5	36%
Spread -4.5	36%
Spread -4.5	34%
Spread -12.5	34%
O/U 66.5	34%
Spread -5.5	33%
Spread -6.5	33%
O/U 68.5	33%
Spread -9.5	31%
Spread -9.5	30%
Spread -10.5	30%
Spread -10.5	28%
Spread -3.5	28%
Spread -14.5	28%
Spread -11.5	24%
Spread -13.5	17%
Spread -16.5	16%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Troy vs. Utah State. In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Utah State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market will resolve to "Utah S…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 3.5 at 100% for "Troy vs. Utah State".

1Q O/U 3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.

Methodology

This page reads Troy vs. Utah State on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What are crypto prediction markets?: Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?: Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?: Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?: UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?: UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analystand

David ParkSports Data Analyst

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Troy vs. Utah State

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Trade Troy vs. Utah State on BTC Prediction

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