Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| 1H Moneyline | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 85% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| Charlotte O/U 13.5 | 80% |
| O/U 29.5 | 75% |
| Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| O/U 33.5 | 72% |
| O/U 35.5 | 70% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| O/U 37.5 | 60% |
| O/U 39.5 | 59% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Louisiana O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| Louisiana O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Charlotte O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Charlotte O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| O/U 41.5 | 43% |
| O/U 45.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| Spread -12.5 | 40% |
| O/U 43.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| O/U 47.5 | 36% |
| Spread -15.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -18.5 | 32% |
| Spread -11.5 | 32% |
| O/U 57.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 30% |
| O/U 69.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| Louisiana O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 51.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| O/U 53.5 | 14% |
| Louisiana O/U 33.5 | 14% |
| Spread -23.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| O/U 55.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Louisiana 1H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Louisiana 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Louisiana 1H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 9% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -6.5 | 7% |
| Louisiana O/U 36.5 | 6% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| O/U 61.5 | 4% |
| Spread -30.5 | 3% |
| O/U 67.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, louisiana vs. charlotte stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Louisiana and Charlotte, scheduled for September 26 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisiana" if Louisiana win the game. T…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $387K.
Methodology
Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — sit alongside as off-chain reference points so you can see how the contract translates across regulatory and settlement regimes.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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