Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
DN SOOPers Challengers face Nongshim Esports Academy in a best-of-three League of Legends match within South Korea's LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 26 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The fixture forms part of the early rounds of the secondary competitive circuit, which serves as a development pathway and qualification route into the primary LCK. Both organisations field academy-level rosters, making roster stability and scrim performance critical variables in predicting outcomes at this tier.
The 100% implied probability reflects the market's assessment that the match will occur as scheduled and produce a decisive result. Historical precedent in LCK Challengers League suggests cancellations remain rare; administrative delays or fixture postponements typically resolve within the seven-day settlement window. Comparable academy-level esports fixtures across regional circuits show similar completion rates, though weather events or venue access issues have occasionally triggered rescheduling in Korean esports infrastructure.
Traders should monitor LCK Challengers League official announcements for any roster changes, coaching staff adjustments, or venue confirmations in the week preceding the match. Recent scrim results and player availability updates from both organisations' social channels will provide material information on team form. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on 26 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Any fixture delay beyond 2 June without a winner determination would trigger market resolution to "No Contest," making schedule adherence the primary catalyst to track.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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