Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons will face Tundra Esports in a best-of-one Dota 2 match during the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 28 May at 09:50 ET. The fixture forms part of a broader competitive circuit where both organisations have established track records in tier-one tournaments. Settlement occurs via USDC on-chain immediately following match conclusion, with the 7-day cancellation clause protecting against extended delays that might otherwise leave positions unresolved.
The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or potential liquidity constraints in the order book. Historical precedent from BLAST Slam events shows consistent fixture execution; cancellations remain rare given the tournament's established infrastructure and broadcast commitments. Tundra Esports and Team Falcons both maintain active rosters with no recent roster changes flagged that would trigger postponements. The single-game format reduces complexity compared to best-of-three series, lowering logistical friction.
Traders should monitor official BLAST announcements for any schedule adjustments, particularly given the tight settlement window closing at 19:50 UTC on match day. Streaming platform confirmation (typically via ESL's channels) typically arrives 24–48 hours before fixture time. Team-specific announcements regarding player availability or technical issues would represent material catalysts; neither organisation has reported such issues as of late May. The match sits within a broader esports calendar where funding rates on major crypto exchanges remain stable, suggesting macro conditions pose minimal settlement risk to the underlying event execution.
Methodology
This page reads Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST… on BTC Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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