Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Xtreme Gaming, the Chinese esports organisation, faces GLYPH in a best-of-one Dota 2 fixture during the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 28 May at 12:10PM ET. The match carries a 100% crowd-implied probability favouring Xtreme Gaming, reflecting their standing as a significantly stronger squad within the competitive Dota 2 landscape. Settlement occurs on-chain via USDC at 22:40 UTC on the scheduled date, with the contract resolving to either team name or 50-50 if the match does not conclude within seven days of the original fixture time.
Xtreme Gaming's dominance in Chinese Dota 2 qualifiers and international LAN appearances has established them as consistent performers against regional and emerging opponents. GLYPH, by contrast, operates at a lower tier of competitive visibility, making the probability spread rational rather than speculative. Historical precedent across BLAST Slam tournaments shows that seeding disparities of this magnitude typically resolve in favour of the favoured team in group-stage play, where preparation and roster stability matter substantially.
Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule for any postponements or technical issues that could trigger the seven-day delay clause. Recent esports calendar disruptions have occasionally forced rescheduling beyond initial windows, particularly when involving Asian-based teams managing timezone constraints. Confirmation of both rosters' availability and any last-minute roster changes should be tracked through official BLAST communications and team social channels prior to the 12:10PM ET start time, as forfeiture or disqualification would alter settlement mechanics significantly.
Methodology
This page reads Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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