Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs third-place match between All Gamers and TYLOO represents a domestic Valorant fixture with significant regional standing implications. Scheduled for 30 May at 05:00 ET, the best-of-five contest determines final placement within one of China's premier competitive circuits. Both organisations field rosters with established track records in regional competition, though recent form and roster stability remain critical differentiators heading into the fixture.
Historical precedent from comparable Chinese Valorant tournaments suggests third-place matches carry genuine competitive weight rather than serving as ceremonial fixtures. Previous Evolution Series iterations have featured competitive encounters between mid-tier teams, with outcomes frequently hinging on map pool preparation and mid-series adjustments rather than raw mechanical advantage. TYLOO's organisational experience in esports across multiple titles provides structural advantages in tournament preparation, whilst All Gamers' recent domestic performance trajectory warrants close examination of recent match results and scrim data circulating within regional competitive communities.
The settlement window closure at 15:00 UTC on 30 May creates a compressed timeframe for match completion, with the seven-day extension clause providing limited buffer for rescheduling. Traders should monitor official Evolution Series announcements regarding any fixture adjustments, roster confirmations, or scheduling conflicts that might emerge in the fortnight preceding the match. Recent Chinese esports calendar congestion has occasionally prompted fixture delays; verification of confirmed start times through official Valorant China channels remains essential given the tight settlement window relative to the scheduled 05:00 ET start.
Methodology
This page reads Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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