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Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

On-chain snapshot for "Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) 100% Volume: $271K Liquidity: $518K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5)65%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5)10%
Match Winner6%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map Handicap: PCFIC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: pcific esports vs gentle mates (bo3) - vct emea group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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