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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

How the on-chain market is pricing "Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 72% Map 1 Winner 67% Map 2 Winner 65% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Volume: $51K Liquidity: $151K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner72%
Map 1 Winner67%
Map 2 Winner65%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)42%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%

Market context

The Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 72% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Nongshim RedForce and Rex Regum Qeon in the VCT Pacific Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongs…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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