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Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

How the on-chain market is pricing "Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) 100% Volume: $197K Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.553%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.553%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)26%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)10%
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: giantx vs team liquid (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between GIANTX and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GI…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
and

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