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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

On-chain snapshot for "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) 90% Volume: $165K Liquidity: $455K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Winner89%
O/U 2.5 Games89%
Match Winner50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)12%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to valorant: furia esports vs evil geniuses (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 3 match between FURIA Esports and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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