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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

On-chain snapshot for "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Volume: $340K Liquidity: $473K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)90%
Match Winner66%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-7.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+7.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-8.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+8.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-9.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: furia esports vs 2game esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between FURIA Esports and 2GAME Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00PM ET. This market…

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — sit alongside as off-chain reference points so you can see how the contract translates across regulatory and settlement regimes.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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