Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Li… — Polygon Order Book Live

Name: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Start: 2026-05-25T22:16:30.917Z
End: 2026-06-15T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink	76%	24%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket polymarket.com	76%	24%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Fight won by KO/TKO?	76% YES	24% NO
Gaethje to win by KO/TKO?	16% YES	85% NO
Fight won by submission?	19% YES	82% NO
O/U 2.5 Rounds	40% Over	61% Under
O/U 3.5 Rounds	24% Over	77% Under
O/U 4.5 Rounds	19% Over	82% Under

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc freedom 250: justin gaethje vs. ilia topuria (lightweight, main card) stands at 76% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, schedule…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 76% probability for "UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)".

YES 76% NO 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $863K.

Methodology

This page reads UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?: Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analystand

David ParkSports Data Analyst

Trade UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Li… on BTC Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Trade on BTC Prediction →

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Li… on BTC Prediction

Related live markets

World Cup Winner

United States vs. Paraguay

US x Iran permanent peace deal by 2026?

Fed Decision in June?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension?

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

Related Topics