Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Atalanta BC (-2.5) | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 95% YES | 6% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 80% YES | 21% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| ACF Fiorentina (-1.5) | 13% YES | 87% NO |
Market context
Fiorentina and Atalanta are due to play in Serie A on 24 May at 9:00 AM ET, and this market covers any additional outcomes tied to that fixture. With the crowd-implied price at 8% YES, the market is pricing a relatively narrow set of contingencies rather than the match result itself. In comparable football markets, low single-digit odds usually reflect settlement mechanics or rare edge cases: a late postponement, a reschedule beyond the rulebook window, or a contract wording issue rather than a standard sporting upset.
The main catalysts are administrative rather than tactical. Robinhood’s rules say the contract resolves from the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a fair-price adjustment only if the game is cancelled or pushed back beyond two weeks, so traders should watch for official Serie A, club, and venue updates between now and kickoff. Team news still matters indirectly if it changes the likelihood of postponement or abandonment; FotMob currently lists absences including Moise Kean and Luca Ranieri for Fiorentina, and Odilon Kossounou for Atalanta. In crypto terms, the position will settle in USDC, so broad BTC and ETH volatility is mostly relevant only if it is driving on-platform risk appetite or liquidity rather than the football event itself.
Methodology
This page reads ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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