Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| US Cremonese (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Como 1907 (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| US Cremonese (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Como 1907 (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Cremonese and Como 1907 are scheduled to meet in Serie A on 24 May at 09:00 ET, with this market tracking whether additional betting markets will be offered on the fixture. The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal historical precedent for supplementary market listings on this matchup, or a technical assumption that the primary market suite will suffice for liquidity purposes. USDC settlement at the window close on 24 May at 13:00 ET ties resolution directly to exchange confirmation; traders should monitor whether the host platform's market operations team publishes expanded offerings in the 48 hours prior to kickoff.
Comparable Serie A fixtures between lower-table sides show mixed patterns: some generate only core moneyline and total-goals markets, whilst promoted or historically volatile clubs attract prop-market expansion. Cremonese's recent form and Como's competitive standing will determine whether traders perceive sufficient edge to justify fragmented liquidity across multiple contracts. The current null probability may reflect rational consolidation—concentrating volume in fewer, deeper markets rather than spreading it across marginal alternatives.
Catalysts centre on platform capacity and promotional strategy. Announcements typically arrive 72 hours before fixture time. Macro crypto conditions—particularly BTC spot volatility and funding-rate compression—can influence whether platforms allocate engineering resources to market expansion, as operational costs rise during periods of elevated on-chain activity. Traders should track the host's market calendar and any public statements regarding Serie A coverage depth in early May.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $251K.
Methodology
Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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