Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

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Market context

The Colorado Avalanche host the Vegas Golden Knights in an NHL game scheduled for 8:00 pm ET, with the contract settling on the final result after overtime or a shootout; in a shootout, the winner is awarded one goal for resolution. The current 40% YES price implies the market is leaning to Vegas, even though recent price reads from CBS Sports had Colorado around -193 on the moneyline for Game 1 and -260 in series markets, showing the Avalanche have often been framed as the stronger side in this matchup. That gap between game-level and market-level pricing is the key reference point for interpreting a single-game contract.

For comparable cases, the market should be read as a one-off hockey price rather than a series opinion: overtime and shootout rules mean a narrow underdog can still cash, and NHL moneylines often move quickly on goalie announcements. CBS Sports noted an over/under of 6.5 and projected 6.7 combined goals, which matters because higher-scoring games tend to increase variance and can narrow the gap between favourites and underdogs. If this contract were paired with on-chain positioning, a late move in USDC activity or broader BTC/ETH risk sentiment would matter mainly through exchange liquidity, not through any direct link to the match outcome.

Catalysts are straightforward: confirmed starting goaltenders, any late injury news, and whether line moves on the major books mirror the crowd price before puck drop. The settlement window closes at 00:00 UTC on 21 May, so any postponement before then would keep the market open, while a cancellation would force the stated 50-50 resolution. Recent preview coverage from CBS Sports and SI both highlighted Colorado as the stronger side in pre-match pricing, so traders will be watching whether the live market follows that bias or whether Vegas draws support into the close.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Golden Knights vs. Avalanche on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.