Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 89% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 87% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| O/U 213.5 | 84% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 84% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 82% |
| O/U 215.5 | 81% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 79% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| O/U 217.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 77% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 77% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| O/U 219.5 | 75% |
| O/U 220.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 72% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| O/U 221.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| O/U 223.5 | 67% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 67% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| O/U 225.5 | 62% |
| O/U 226.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 60% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 227.5 | 59% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 228.5 | 56% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 55% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 55% |
| O/U 229.5 | 54% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 53% |
| O/U 230.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 51% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 231.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 46% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 236.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 39% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 37% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 37% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 239.5 | 35% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 33% |
| Spread -19.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 242.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 27% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| O/U 245.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 18% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 15% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Spurs vs. Mavericks. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is post…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $362K.
Methodology
This page reads Spurs vs. Mavericks on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What are crypto prediction markets?
- Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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