Knicks vs. 76ers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The New York Knicks face the Philadelphia 76ers in an NBA matchup scheduled for 8 May at 7:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 23:00 UTC the same day. The current crowd-implied probability of 49% for a Knicks victory reflects near-parity between the two franchises, though the exact playoff seeding and remaining roster composition will determine the true matchup dynamics. USDC settlement on the contract ensures immediate post-game resolution once the final score is confirmed, with overtime periods included in the determination.

Historically, Knicks–76ers contests have shown volatility depending on playoff positioning and injury status. The 2024 NBA season saw both teams competing for Eastern Conference positioning, with the 76ers typically favoured in regular-season matchups but the Knicks demonstrating resilience in high-stakes scenarios. The 49% probability suggests the market is pricing in meaningful uncertainty, possibly reflecting recent roster changes, injury reports, or strength-of-schedule considerations that have emerged since the fixture was scheduled.

Traders should monitor official NBA injury reports through 8 May, particularly regarding star players on either roster, as late-game roster decisions materially shift win probability. Schedule confirmations and any potential postponements will be announced via NBA.com and official team channels. Macro crypto conditions—particularly BTC and ETH spot prices and funding rates on major exchanges—may influence trader participation and liquidity depth in the contract, though the underlying sports outcome remains independent of on-chain mechanics.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.