Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 93% |
| O/U 208.5 | 92% |
| O/U 210.5 | 89% |
| O/U 212.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 87% |
| Cavaliers O/U 106.5 | 86% |
| O/U 214.5 | 84% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 3.5 | 83% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 82% |
| O/U 216.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 81% |
| Cavaliers O/U 108.5 | 81% |
| Timberwolves O/U 103.5 | 80% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| O/U 218.5 | 78% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 76% |
| Cavaliers O/U 110.5 | 76% |
| Timberwolves O/U 105.5 | 75% |
| O/U 220.5 | 74% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 73% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 71% |
| Cavaliers O/U 112.5 | 71% |
| O/U 222.5 | 70% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 69% |
| Timberwolves O/U 107.5 | 69% |
| O/U 224.5 | 67% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 66% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 65% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5 | 65% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 4.5 | 65% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 64% |
| Cavaliers O/U 114.5 | 64% |
| O/U 226.5 | 63% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Timberwolves O/U 109.5 | 63% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 62% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 14.5 | 60% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 59% |
| O/U 228.5 | 58% |
| Cavaliers O/U 116.5 | 58% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Timberwolves O/U 111.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 55% |
| Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| O/U 230.5 | 54% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 52% |
| Cavaliers O/U 118.5 | 52% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| Timberwolves O/U 113.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| O/U 232.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Race to 10 | 48% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 48% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 233.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Race to 20 | 45% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Race to 30 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 44% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 52.5 | 44% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 43% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 56.5 | 43% |
| Timberwolves O/U 115.5 | 43% |
| Cavaliers O/U 120.5 | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 54.5 | 42% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 41% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 53.5 | 41% |
| O/U 236.5 | 40% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 40% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 60.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Moneyline | 39% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Timberwolves O/U 117.5 | 39% |
| Cavaliers O/U 122.5 | 39% |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | 38% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 37% |
| O/U 238.5 | 37% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5 | 34% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 34% |
| Cavaliers O/U 124.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Timberwolves O/U 119.5 | 33% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | 32% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 24.5 | 31% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 8.5 | 30% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 11.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 30% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 28% |
| Timberwolves O/U 121.5 | 28% |
| Cavaliers O/U 126.5 | 28% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 24% |
| Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 23% |
| Cavaliers O/U 128.5 | 23% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 22% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Timberwolves O/U 123.5 | 22% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 19% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| O/U 250.5 | 17% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 17% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Timberwolves O/U 125.5 | 16% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -18.5 | 14% |
| O/U 252.5 | 14% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| O/U 254.5 | 13% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -11.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 12% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 11% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -22.5 | 9% |
| O/U 256.5 | 9% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 258.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 8% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| O/U 260.5 | 7% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -15.5 | 6% |
| Spread -26.5 | 6% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -32.5 | 5% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -28.5 | 4% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Spread -30.5 | 3% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Spread -23.5 | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, timberwolves vs. cavaliers stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.
Methodology
This page reads Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What are crypto prediction markets?
- Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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