Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| O/U 208.5 | 94% |
| O/U 210.5 | 92% |
| O/U 212.5 | 90% |
| O/U 214.5 | 87% |
| O/U 216.5 | 85% |
| O/U 218.5 | 81% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| O/U 220.5 | 78% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| O/U 222.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 75% |
| Bucks O/U 102.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| O/U 224.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 69% |
| O/U 226.5 | 68% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| O/U 228.5 | 63% |
| Bucks O/U 106.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 61% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 58% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 230.5 | 57% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| O/U 232.5 | 55% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 54% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 53% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 110.5 | 51% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 63.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 234.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 132.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 136.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 46% |
| O/U 236.5 | 45% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Bucks O/U 100.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 44% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 238.5 | 41% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 40% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 40% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Bucks O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 38% |
| O/U 240.5 | 37% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 34% |
| Bucks O/U 116.5 | 34% |
| O/U 242.5 | 33% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -18.5 | 32% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 244.5 | 28% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Bucks O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| O/U 246.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| O/U 248.5 | 23% |
| 1H Moneyline | 23% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 23% |
| Bucks O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 60.5 | 23% |
| Spread -22.5 | 22% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| O/U 250.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Bucks O/U 122.5 | 18% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 16% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -38.5 | 4% |
| Spread -40.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Bucks vs. 76ers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET: If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.
Methodology
This page reads Bucks vs. 76ers on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can I use Bitcoin directly?
- No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
- How does UMA secure the resolution?
- The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Bucks vs. 76ers on BTC Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →