Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 85% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 81% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 78% |
| O/U 227.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 75% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 75% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 74% |
| O/U 230.5 | 71% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 231.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 67% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 234.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 63% |
| O/U 235.5 | 61% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| O/U 236.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 56% |
| O/U 238.5 | 55% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 55% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 54% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 53% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 53% |
| O/U 239.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 48% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 48% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Overtime? | 46% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| O/U 243.5 | 43% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 38% |
| O/U 246.5 | 37% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 35% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 35% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| O/U 249.5 | 30% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 30% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 25% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 23% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
Market context
The Mavericks vs. Pacers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 85% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is po…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $272K.
Methodology
This page reads Mavericks vs. Pacers on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- How does UMA secure the resolution?
- The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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