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Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - More Markets

On-chain snapshot for "Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - More Markets" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $152K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Columbus Crew O/U 0.5100%
New York City FC O/U 0.5100%
New York City FC O/U 1.5100%
New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Columbus Crew (-1.5)0%
New York City FC (-1.5)0%
Columbus Crew (-2.5)0%
New York City FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Columbus Crew O/U 1.50%
Columbus Crew O/U 2.50%
New York City FC O/U 2.50%
Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 1.50%
New York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of columbus crew vs. new york city fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reads Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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