Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins — Crypto Prediction Odds

Name: San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins
Start: 2026-06-15T13:03:15.511Z
End: 2026-06-28T17:40:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink	7%	93%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket polymarket.com	7%	93%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

O/U 8.5	7% Over	93% Under
O/U 10.5	5% Over	96% Under
O/U 4.5	44% Over	56% Under
O/U 5.5	16% Over	84% Under
O/U 6.5	19% Over	82% Under
O/U 9.5	7% Over	94% Under

Market context

The San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins prediction market currently prices this outcome at 7% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Miami Marlins, scheduled for June 21 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 7% probability for "San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins".

YES 7% NO 93%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $288K.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analystand

David ParkSports Data Analyst

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San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins on BTC Prediction

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