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Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

How the on-chain market is pricing "Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

2% YES 98% NO Volume: $377K Liquidity: $665K Closes: 7 Jun 2026
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Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
 2% 98% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 2% 98% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates2% YES98% NO
NRFI0% YES100% NO
Spread -5.550% YES50% NO
Spread -6.552% YES48% NO
Spread -7.5—
Spread -9.5—

Market context

The Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction market currently prices this outcome at 2% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 31 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 2% probability for "Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

YES 2% NO 98%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $377K.

Methodology

This page reads Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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