Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
66% | 34% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
66% | 34% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| NRFI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Market context
The Los Angeles Angels face the Detroit Tigers on 26 May at 6:40 PM ET in a regular-season MLB matchup. The 45% implied probability for an Angels victory reflects moderate uncertainty, with the settlement window extending to 2 June to accommodate any postponement. USDC settlement will execute against official MLB final statistics once the game concludes.
Historical matchup data shows the Angels have held a slight edge over Detroit in recent seasons, though both clubs entered 2024 with middling records. The Tigers' pitching rotation and the Angels' offensive inconsistency have created volatile outcomes in head-to-head contests. Comparable single-game markets on btc-prediction.bet typically see probability shifts of 5–10 percentage points in the 48 hours before first pitch, driven by injury reports and starting pitcher confirmation.
Key catalysts include official lineup announcements and weather conditions at the venue, which can influence both team strategy and total scoring. Traders should monitor recent performance trends—the Angels' run differential and the Tigers' bullpen effectiveness—alongside any late roster moves. Funding rates on crypto derivatives markets have remained stable through late May, suggesting macro conditions aren't materially constraining sports betting activity. The settlement mechanism's tie-resolution clause (50-50 split) carries minimal practical risk given MLB's rescheduling protocols, though traders should confirm game status on 26 May evening to avoid settlement ambiguity.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.
Methodology
This page reads Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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