Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox — On-Chain Odds

Name: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Start: 2026-06-16T13:02:20.849Z
End: 2026-06-29T23:40:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink	22%	78%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket polymarket.com	22%	78%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	22% Cleveland Guardians	79% Chicago White Sox
NRFI	0% YES	100% NO
Spread -1.5	11% Cleveland Guardians	89% Chicago White Sox
O/U 8.5	56% Over	45% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	0% Cleveland Guardians	100% Chicago White Sox
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	100% Chicago White Sox	0% Cleveland Guardians

Market context

Market consensus: 22% chance of cleveland guardians vs. chicago white sox. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for June 22 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Clevel…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 22% probability for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox".

YES 22% NO 78%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $405K.

Methodology

This page reads Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?: On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?: BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?: Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analystand

David ParkSports Data Analyst

Trade Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox on BTC Prediction

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox on BTC Prediction

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