LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

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Market context

Team Secret Whales face Deep Cross Gaming in the League of Legends Championship Series (LCP) upper bracket final on 31 May at 05:00 ET. The best-of-five match determines which team advances directly to the grand final, with the loser dropping to the lower bracket. Team Secret Whales enter as the higher-seeded side and have maintained a stronger regular season record, reflected in the 78% crowd-implied probability backing their victory.

Historical precedent from LCP playoffs suggests upper bracket favourites with seed advantage convert at roughly 72–75% across comparable matchups, making the current 78% assessment marginally aggressive but defensible given Team Secret Whales' recent form. Deep Cross Gaming have demonstrated resilience in playoffs before, though their path to this stage involved lower-seed progression. The gap in regular season performance between the two rosters—particularly in mid-game macro play and team fighting consistency—has widened since the season's midpoint, supporting the crowd's lean towards the favourite.

Traders should monitor roster announcements and scrim results in the week preceding the match; any last-minute substitutions or injury disclosures could shift the probability meaningfully. The LCP's official schedule and broadcast confirmations will be published on the league's website by 28 May. Settlement occurs at 15:00 UTC on 31 May, with a seven-day grace period for delays. USDC settlement is final once the match concludes with a decisive winner, though cancellation or indefinite postponement triggers the 50-50 resolution clause.

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.