LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

RED Canids and FURIA Esports will contest the League of Legends upper bracket final of the CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) playoffs on 24 May at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. This best-of-five match represents one of the season's highest-stakes encounters in Brazilian competitive League, with both organisations fielding rosters capable of championship runs. The current 25% implied probability for RED Canids reflects their status as underdogs against FURIA, who have demonstrated stronger regular-season performance and more consistent tournament results throughout 2026.

Historical matchup data and seasonal standings provide context for the probability assessment. FURIA finished the regular season with a superior record and has won the majority of head-to-head encounters against RED Canids this year. However, RED Canids have shown capacity to upset higher-seeded opponents in playoff formats, and their mid-lane and jungle synergy has proven effective against FURIA's typical macro patterns. Comparable upper bracket finals in previous CBLOL seasons have occasionally favoured the lower-seeded team when preparation and meta adaptation align favourably.

Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute coaching adjustments announced before the 12:00 PM ET start time. Schedule adherence matters for settlement purposes—the market resolves 50-50 if the match extends beyond seven days without completion. Recent patch notes and champion pool adjustments affecting both teams' champion select flexibility will influence in-game outcomes. USDC settlement occurs post-match conclusion, contingent on official CBLOL broadcast confirmation of the result.

Methodology

This page reads LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.