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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

"LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 69% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 69% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 68% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 64% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $274K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?69%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?69%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?68%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?64%
Game 1 Winner53%
Match Winner53%
Game 2 Winner52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to lol: hanwha life esports vs gen.g (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group. This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Es…

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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