🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen live market →

LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

On-chain snapshot for "LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Any Player Quadra Kill 50% Any Player Penta Kill 50% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 10% Volume: $310K Liquidity: $330K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
Open live market →
LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Market consensus: 90% chance of lol: galions vs vitality.bee (bo1) - lfl regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Galions and Vitality.Bee in the LFL Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 23 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions"…

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
and

Trade LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season on BTC Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →