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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

How the on-chain market is pricing "LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 77% Match Winner 56% Game 1 Winner 55% Game 2 Winner 54% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $555K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?77%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner55%
Game 2 Winner54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)31%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: furia esports vs loud (bo3) - cblol regular season stands at 77% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA E…

Methodology

This page reads LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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