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LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the on-chain market is pricing "LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Any Player Penta Kill 57% Any Player Quadra Kill 53% Volume: $147K Liquidity: $485K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Any Player Penta Kill57%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Game 1 Winner36%
Game 2 Winner34%
Match Winner30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 71% YES probability for LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN …

Methodology

This page reads LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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