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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

How the on-chain market is pricing "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stage" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 89% Game 1 Winner 81% Game 2 Winner 81% Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) 65% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $927K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner89%
Game 1 Winner81%
Game 2 Winner81%
Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 89% YES probability for LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Deep Cross Gaming and DetonatioN FocusMe in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Deep C…

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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