Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Cusco FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Independiente Medellín (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Cusco FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Independiente Medellín (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Cusco FC host Independiente Medellín in the return leg of their Copa Libertadores group match, with the market asking whether any additional, unlisted outcome or event occurs. Medellín won the first meeting 1-0 in Colombia, and the reverse fixture at Cusco’s altitude has already produced late drama in comparable recent Libertadores games, including a 3-2 Cusco defeat on 20 May that went right to the final minutes. In a thin sample, the head-to-head points to tight margins rather than routine scorelines, which is usually the setting where “more markets” contracts can be sensitive to late substitutions, cards, penalties or added-time swings.
The main catalysts are match-state developments rather than long-run team strength: line-ups, booking accumulation, VAR checks and whether Cusco can force an open second half while chasing the aggregate deficit. The settlement window closes at 02:00 UTC, so the relevant trigger is whatever is officially recorded before full-time, including stoppage-time incidents. For broader market context, BTC and ETH spot have been relatively steady into the European session and funding rates on major venues are not signalling a strong risk-off move; that matters mainly because it limits any macro-driven repricing of USDC-settled football contracts. 365Scores and ESPN both note the first leg ended 1-0 to Medellín, while live team news from FotMob and SofaScore shows the return leg is the key dependency for any event-specific resolution.
Methodology
This page reads Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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