Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín

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Market context

Cusco FC host Independiente Medellín in Copa Libertadores group-stage action, with settlement tied to the scheduled start rather than the final result. The market’s 0% YES implies participants are treating the event as already decided or not eligible, but the football context is that Medellín won the reverse fixture 3-2 away, which is the clearest comparable result available here. Head-to-head data are still thin, though the early edge in both meetings has sat with Medellín, while Cusco’s home altitude remains the main local factor that has historically made scores less predictable in Peru.

For traders, the key catalyst is whether the match was actually played at the stated kickoff and accepted by the market’s rule set, since the settlement window closes at 02:00 UTC. The search results place the fixture at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in Cusco, and FotMob lists the line-up structure for Cusco, indicating the game was in motion or completed around the listed time. In a crypto-settled market, the practical watchpoints are the contract’s timestamp logic, any exchange-side resolution notes, and whether late line-up or venue changes were published before close. If the event remained live, 0% pricing would be difficult to reconcile with a standard sports settlement.

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Methodology

This page reads Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.