Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
34% | 66% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
34% | 66% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Getafe CF | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Draw (Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna) | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| CA Osasuna | 31% YES | 70% NO |
Market context
Getafe CF will host CA Osasuna in a La Liga fixture on Saturday, 23 May 2026, with the settlement window closing at 19:00 UTC that evening. The current crowd-implied probability of 34% suggests market participants favour Osasuna or a draw outcome, reflecting recent form disparities between the two Madrid-region clubs. Settlement will occur in USDC, with the binary resolving YES only if Getafe wins by any margin in regulation time.
Historical matchups between these sides show Getafe has won roughly 40% of encounters over the past five seasons, whilst Osasuna has improved markedly under recent management, posting stronger away records than Getafe's home performance metrics. The 34% probability sits below Getafe's long-term win rate against comparable opposition, suggesting either current-season form data or injury concerns are weighing the market toward caution. Comparable La Liga home-team probabilities in May fixtures typically range 38–48% depending on league position, so this reading indicates meaningful doubt about Getafe's chances.
Traders should monitor team news releases through the week preceding the match, particularly regarding squad availability and any managerial statements on tactical approach. Osasuna's recent fixture congestion—if they contest European qualification playoffs—could influence rest patterns. Spot pricing on USDC-margined contracts may shift if either side announces significant absences. The settlement window's tight closure at match end means no post-match arbitrage opportunity; positions must be resolved immediately upon final whistle confirmation from official La Liga sources.
Methodology
This page reads Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →