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Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 - More Markets

How the on-chain market is pricing "Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 - More Markets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 93% Gangwon FC O/U 0.5 91% 1st Half O/U 0.5 80% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 78% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $148K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.593%
Gangwon FC O/U 0.591%
1st Half O/U 0.580%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
Gangwon FC 1st Half O/U 0.574%
Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.573%
O/U 1.572%
Gangwon FC O/U 1.571%
2nd Half O/U 1.566%
1st Half O/U 1.561%
Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.561%
Both Teams to Score in First Half57%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half57%
Gangwon FC O/U 2.556%
Gangwon FC 1st Half O/U 1.555%
Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.553%
1st Half O/U 2.552%
Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 1.551%
2nd Half O/U 2.551%
Both Teams to Score50%
Gangwon FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Gangwon FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 2.546%
Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)42%
Gangwon FC (-1.5)33%
O/U 3.526%
O/U 4.523%
Gangwon FC (-2.5)15%
Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)6%
O/U 5.56%
Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.54%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to gangwon fc vs. bucheon fc 1995 - more markets. More markets for the K-League game, scheduled for August 1 at 6:30 AM ET.

Methodology

This page reads Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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