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Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs

How the on-chain market is pricing "Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: RC (-1.5) vs IGZIST (+1.5) 100% Volume: $56K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: RC (-1.5) vs IGZIST (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-3.5) vs IGZIST (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-3.5) vs IGZIST (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-3.5) vs IGZIST (+3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: reject vs igzist (bo3) - vcl japan season finals playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Semifinal 1 match between REJECT and IGZIST in the VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 24 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "REJ…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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