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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

"Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5) 91% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $676K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)83%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)46%
Map 2 Winner18%
O/U 2.5 Games17%
Match Winner10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team envy vs evil geniuses (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 5:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
and

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