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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

On-chain snapshot for "Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $591K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Fnatic (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Fnatic (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-5.5) vs Fnatic (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-7.5) vs Fnatic (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Fnatic (+6.5)53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-8.5) vs Fnatic (+8.5)53%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs Fnatic (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Fnatic (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-5.5) vs Fnatic (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Fnatic (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and Fnatic in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Etern…

Methodology

This page reads Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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