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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

"UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Dulatov to win by KO/TKO? 51% Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov 50% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Volume: $583K Liquidity: $452K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
Dulatov to win by KO/TKO?51%
Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov50%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Turman to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 51% probability to ufc fight night: wellington turman vs. islam dulatov (welterweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Wellington Turman" if Wellington Turman is officially declared the winner of the fight against Islam Dulatov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 51% for "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $583K.

Methodology

This page reads UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card) on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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