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FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets

"FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $32K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5100%
Tromsø IL O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Team to Advance100%
Tromsø IL (-1.5)0%
FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)0%
Tromsø IL (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Tromsø IL O/U 1.50%
Tromsø IL O/U 2.50%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FC Hradec Králové have already done the hard part by winning the first leg 1-0 away in Tromsø, so the live market for “more markets” is being priced off the expectation that UEFA’s qualification process will now shift to the return fixture and its ancillary event menu rather than a new standalone tie. The underlying football context is simple: this second-round Europa League qualifier was the first competitive European meeting between the sides, and the away win gave Hradec a one-goal aggregate cushion after a late Mick van Buren strike and a saved penalty from Adam Zadražil.[1][4][11]

For traders, the key read is that a 100% crowd-implied “YES” reflects how these contracts often behave once the match is confirmed and the competition framework is settled: the state of play is dominated by the scheduled return leg, not by sporting uncertainty about whether the pairing exists. Comparable qualifiers in this round typically hinge on official team news, UEFA registration and any knock-on scheduling changes, while the fact that the tie was originally expected to involve another Czech side underlines how qualification brackets can move before kick-off.[3][14] In a crypto-market setting, settlement in USDC means the contract should ultimately track the final market definition rather than the result on the pitch, so the practical watchpoints are venue confirmation, line-up announcements and whether any late administrative change affects what counts as a qualifying “more markets” outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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