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KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje - More Markets

On-chain snapshot for "KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje - More Markets" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $235K Liquidity: $878K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5100%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5100%
NK Celje O/U 0.5100%
NK Celje O/U 1.5100%
NK Celje O/U 2.5100%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
NK Celje 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NK Celje 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half99%
2nd Half O/U 1.599%
2nd Half O/U 2.599%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 0.599%
NK Celje 2nd Half O/U 1.599%
O/U 5.554%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.534%
NK Celje (-1.5)23%
NK Celje (-2.5)4%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)1%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)1%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 1.50%
NK Celje 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of kf egnatia rrogozhinë vs. nk celje - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 22 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reads KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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