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IF Brommapojkarna vs. Malmo FF - More Markets

How the on-chain market is pricing "IF Brommapojkarna vs. Malmo FF - More Markets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $863K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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IF Brommapojkarna vs. Malmo FF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
IF Brommapojkarna O/U 0.5100%
Malmo FF O/U 0.5100%
Malmo FF O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Malmo FF 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5)0%
Malmo FF (-1.5)0%
IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5)0%
Malmo FF (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
IF Brommapojkarna O/U 1.50%
IF Brommapojkarna O/U 2.50%
Malmo FF O/U 2.50%
IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 0.50%
IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.50%
IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Brommapojkarna and Malmö FF meet in Allsvenskan, and the “more markets” contract is tied to the live outcome set being resolved after kickoff rather than to a single pre-match winner line. Recent head-to-head data point to a Malmö edge: Sofascore lists the last meeting as a 3-2 Malmö win on 26 July 2025, and FotMob’s record shows Malmö with 12 wins, Brommapojkarna with 1, and 2 draws in the series.[1][4] That kind of history matters for reading a 0% crowd-implied YES, because “more markets” contracts often remain capped near zero when traders think the relevant auxiliary outcomes are either already priced elsewhere or are too dependent on match-day conditions to justify paying up early.

For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the match proceeds on schedule at the stated window, since settlement depends on the actual football event being played.[3][8] In a crypto-native market, USDC settlement means the payout path is independent of fiat rails, but pricing can still react to broader risk appetite if BTC and ETH are moving sharply or if funding turns one-sided on major venues; that is most relevant when the book is thin and a few whale-sized orders can shift the implied probability quickly. The practical watchlist is simple: final team news before kick-off, any official fixture changes, and whether in-game volatility draws fresh capital into the contract rather than leaving it pinned at zero.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads IF Brommapojkarna vs. Malmo FF - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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