Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| Dundee United FC | 0% |
| Rangers FC | 0% |
Market context
Dundee United meet Rangers in a Scottish Premiership fixture, and the market’s 0% YES implies traders are treating the specified result as effectively dead. That is consistent with the longer-run head-to-head: Rangers have dominated this pairing across recent seasons, with BBC Sport noting Dundee United have failed to beat them in 11 straight league meetings, while Rangers have also won their last three league visits to Tannadice[4].
Comparable results point the same way. Sky Sports’ recent form line showed Dundee United ending the 2025/26 league campaign with mixed home results, while Rangers finished with a run that still included late-season defeats but strong scoring output[3]. Historical records from head-to-head databases also show a large Rangers advantage over the full sample, with roughly 40 direct wins to Dundee United’s 13 in one compiled record, or 29 to 11 in another, depending on the database scope[1][2]. For a USDC-settled contract, that matters because on-chain prices tend to compress towards the final settlement once the underlying sporting outcome is no longer contestable.
The key catalysts are the official match result and any post-match dispute over whether the scheduled fixture was completed under the market’s rules; absent that, the path is mostly mechanical rather than sporting. Traders watching macro overlays would normally track BTC and ETH spot and perpetual funding only if broader risk sentiment is feeding into prediction-market liquidity, but for a football event closing on the result itself, those crypto drivers are secondary unless there is a sharp move in USDC demand or exchange-wide risk appetite around settlement time. The practical dependency is the feed the contract uses for finality, not the scoreline narrative.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $172K.
Methodology
This page reads Dundee United FC vs. Rangers FC on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Can I use Bitcoin directly?
- No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
- How does UMA secure the resolution?
- The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
- How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
- Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
- Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
- Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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