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Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets

How the on-chain market is pricing "Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% Celtic FC O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC (-1.5)0%
Dundee FC (-1.5)0%
Celtic FC (-2.5)0%
Dundee FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Celtic FC O/U 1.50%
Celtic FC O/U 2.50%
Dundee FC O/U 0.50%
Dundee FC O/U 1.50%
Dundee FC O/U 2.50%
Celtic FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Celtic FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Dundee FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Dundee FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Dundee FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Dundee FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Celtic and Dundee meet in a Scottish Premiership fixture on 3 August, and the market’s 0% implied YES price is in line with the long-run mismatch between the sides. Across recent head-to-head datasets, Celtic have overwhelmingly dominated the series, with one source showing 32 wins and no Dundee wins in 38 meetings since 2003, while another records Celtic leading 29–1–5 or 30–1–5 depending on the sample window used.[1][3][17] Recent scorelines have also been one-sided at times, including Celtic’s 6-0 and 7-1 wins, although Dundee did hold them to a 3-3 draw in January 2025.[4][7]

For a “more markets” contract, the key read is usually less about the headline result and more about whether the game follows the expected script on timing and scoreline-related sub-markets. That matters because settlement is USDC-based and will typically resolve on the final published match outcome, so late team-news, postponed kick-off times, or an abandoned fixture are the main operational risks rather than the broader season-long form picture. The live market is also likely to remain highly sensitive to pre-match line-up announcements and any last-minute rotation, especially if Celtic are managing squad load around European or domestic scheduling, while Dundee’s incentive is often to keep the game tight and reduce volatility in total-goals markets.[9][12]

Macro crypto conditions are relevant mainly as a liquidity backdrop: when BTC and ETH move sharply, prediction-market spreads and risk appetite can widen or tighten even if the football fundamentals are unchanged. Traders watching on-chain positioning should pay attention to spot moves, funding rates and any broad market risk-off flare-up that could affect how quickly the contract reprices around team-news or in-play developments, but the core driver here remains the historical scoring gap and the matchday selection news.[9][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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