CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas defeated Sport Boys Association 1–0 in their Peru Liga 1 Clausura match on 19 July 2026 at Estadio Los Chankas, with the game concluding before the settlement window closed at 16:00 UTC the same day[2][3]. The outcome confirms the real-world event has already resolved, rendering the 0% YES probability for any additional market (such as over/under goals or specific scorelines beyond the final result) consistent with the settled scoreline.

Historically, Peru Liga 1 matches with a 1–0 final score rarely trigger secondary “more markets” outcomes unless the contract specifies narrow conditions like exact goal timing or player-specific events, which are often voided if the primary result is decisive. In comparable on-chain prediction contracts settled via USDC, markets tied to unmet secondary conditions post a 1–0 finish have consistently closed at 0% YES, reflecting the absence of qualifying events[1]. This pattern aligns with the current crowd-implied probability, as the single-goal margin leaves little room for additional goal-based triggers.

Traders should monitor the official settlement announcement on btc-prediction.bet, which will confirm whether the specific “more markets” contract (e.g., total goals over 2.5, both teams to score) was invalidated by the 1–0 result. No further match-day catalysts exist, as the fixture has concluded; any price movement would stem from exchange spot volatility in USDC or whale flows adjusting positions ahead of final settlement, not new sporting data. The settlement is deterministic based on the final score already recorded[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page reads CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?

Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?

USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.

How does UMA secure the resolution?

The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.

How volatile are crypto prediction markets?

Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.

Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?

In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.