HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGet started →

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

How the on-chain market is pricing "Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

42% YES 58% NO Volume: $182K Liquidity: $507K Closes: 7 Jun 2026
Trade on BTC Prediction →
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
 42% 58% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 42% 58% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets42% YES59% NO
NRFI47% YES53% NO
Spread -1.541% YES60% NO
O/U 7.550% YES51% NO
O/U 10.525% YES75% NO
O/U 4.583% YES18% NO

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 42% probability to miami marlins vs. new york mets. In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and New York Mets, scheduled for May 31 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 42% probability for "Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets".

YES 42% NO 58%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $182K.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

Trade Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets on BTC Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Trade on BTC Prediction →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to BTC Prediction.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports